Friday, March 13, 2015

With NFL free agency underway, here are some early projections for the ...



The Washington Redskins were largely on the sidelines when NFL free agency got underway, so their team, at least on offense, is a known commodity.

Mike Clay from Pro Football Focus has continually updated his 2015 projections asplayers sign or are traded to new teams, and here is what he thinks the Redskins will do in 2015.

Robert Griffin III, quarterback

Barring something unexpected, Griffin likely will be the teams starting quarterback next season. He played nine games in 2014 and completed 68.7 percent of his passes for 1,694 yards, four touchdowns and six interceptions. Most of those passes never went more than nine yards in the air.

The projections reveal some good news and some bad news. The good news is RGIII is projected to play 16 games (dont get too excited all starters are) and pass for 3,862 yards with 20 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. They also predict that h**l rush for 519 yards. That would be similar production to his rookie of the year campaign in 2012. However, they also project him to be sacked a league-leading 60 times, which would rank ninth all time.

Of course, there is still the chancethe team goes in a different direction.

Alfred Morris, running back

Morris was the No. 18-rated rusher among the 23 who took at least half of their teams snaps last season. The 26-year-old ran for 1,074 yards on 265 carries with eight touchdowns but saw his yards per carry decline for the second straight season. He did have 14 runs go for 15 yards or more.

Expect more of the same from Morris: 1,183 yards on 276 carries withnine touchdowns.

DeSean Jackson,Pierre GarconandAndre Roberts, widereceivers

Garcon led the teamin targets (105) but was way behind Jackson in yards per route run.

Perhaps thats why PFFs projection system has Jackson leading the team in targets for the 2015 season.

Name Targets Recs ReYards ReTD DeSean Jackson 102 66 1092 4 Pierre Garcon 87 58 696 4 Andre Roberts 63 39 456 3 Ryan Grant 19 14 145 1

Jordan Reed, Niles Paul and Logan Paulsen, tight ends

Reed has the most upside here, but Paul was signed to a three-year contract extension worth close to $10 million. Still, the projections suggest Reed will be the better bet in terms of performance.

Name Targets Recs ReYards ReTD Jordan Reed 87 63 675 4 Niles Paul 29 21 218 1 Logan Paulsen 10 7 73 1

Neil Greenberg analyzes advanced sports statistics for the Fancy Stats blog and prefers to be called a geek rather than a nerd.

Source: http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fancy-stats/wp/2015/03/12/with-nfl-free-agency-underway-here-are-some-early-projections-for-the-redskins-offense/



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